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BC Conservative leader Cummins: cow pie magnet.

BC Conservatives overrated as vote splitter for potential Lib supporters.

We exaggerate the potential of the BC Conservatives and their newly affirmed leader John Cummins to seriously cut into the voting base of the BC Liberals.

My experience is admittedly ancient, but in Kamloops in 1979, as a member of the Social Credit coalition, I shuddered when a Conservative entered the race. The election was sure to be close, and I didn’t need to see the right wing of my party (who weren’t happy with me anyway) turn to the Tories. In the result, I won handsomely and the Conservative had no impact. In our analysis, it became clear that much of the Tory support came from people who wouldn’t have voted if there wasn’t a Conservative to vote for. There is, then, the danger of overestimating the impact of John Cummins on the next election. Continue Reading »

We at the Common Sense Canadian will be dealing with the Site C project in some depth and from the outset we would like to acknowledge the tremendous work and research done by our colleague, well known economist Erik Andersen, who cut his professional teeth dealing with government spending.

I would like to test a theory of mine, namely, that the Site C project does not pass the “simple question” test.

Energy Minister Rich Coleman has stated that we need Site C because BC Hydro says our power needs will grow by 40% over the next 20 years.

Given that BC Hydro’s projections from a decade ago proved to be exaggerated by 30%, as this report by Mr. Andersen clearly demonstrates…

Simple Question: why should we trust them now when they envision our needs rising 40% in the coming years?

Simple Answer: We don’t – and in a moment I’ll ask some more questions to show why that is. Continue Reading »

Three Samara nominations

I’m astonished and hugely flattered to learn that a long time listener and reader of my stuff, Gavin Bamber, has nominated three of my books for recognition as the top Canadian political books of the past 25 years by Samara. This about Samara and the awards.

25 Influential Books on Politics: Samara will be collecting nominations from people across the country—and the political spectrum—on their picks for the 25 most influential political books of the last 25 years. Samara is a charitable organization that studies citizen engagement with Canadian democracy. Through our projects we hope to strengthen the health of our democracy and encourage others to do the same. Samara was created out of a belief in the importance of public service and public leadership.

Our work focuses on three areas: political leadership; the participation of citizens in public life; and public affairs journalism.

The books selected are, Canada Is Anyone Listening? (Key Porter), Rants Raves and Recollections (Whitecap),  and Still Ranting (Whitecap).

Mr Bamber says “Unfortunately I had to narrow it down to only three… but those 3 work great as a trilogy. I worry that as is typical of the “national” scene that a BC writer such as Rafe Mair will be overlooked, so I figure “what the bleep!” (To quote Rafe!) Please help get Rafe the recognition that I believe he deserves!”

This project’s website is:

http://www.samaracanada.com/Best_Political_Books

The page to endorse me is:

http://www.samaracanada.com/Nominate_Books

Political books from BC writers suffer greatly from being all but ignored by Indigo/Chapters which site books about as far away from potential buyers as is possible and discourage local publishers. I’m not whining just laying it out.

You can get, from www.abebooks.com, each of these books not in good condition for pennies – however the good copies get $25 for Canada: Is Anyone Listening; and $35 for each of the others. Which with the exception of Canada is considerably more than they came out at!

Nuclear Thorium

Awhile back I did a piece on nuclear energy and you would have thought I was in favour of hanging petty thieves (that theory belongs to the Harper Conservatives). I said nothing in favour of nuclear but only made the point that before anything is rejected, it (the modern version) should be studied so we can understand our options. At that point we had had Chernobyl and Three Mile Island but not, of course, Fukushima.

In the Globe and Mail for May 23 last, on the op-ed page is an article by Neil Reynolds, headlined “With Thorium We Could Have Safe Nuclear Power”. Continue Reading »

I have been in politics or commenting on them (same thing) back to the days of WAC Bennett. My first published piece was a criticism of Bennett’s position on the failed (thankfully) Victoria Charter.

During that time I’ve seen plenty of gilding the lily, massaging of the truth, opinions presented as truth – in fact the things we all do ourselves – yet I’ve seen very little actual lying, deliberate untruths. When we would hear, say, a premier making a statement which the Opposition Leader says is untrue, that was a difference of opinion. I must admit that some opinions come perilously close to falsehoods but it was not until the Campbell government that we saw a government whose basic political strategy has been to lie. Not just puff up a story, slide over the troublesome bits – but outright lie. Continue Reading »

A Book Lover’s Lament

Mair's lair: The Ambleside Book Barn in West Vancouver.

The pleasures of roaming a small bookshop, the joy of holding a bound tome. Fading fast?

Whither books?

Are they doomed to be curiosities on an antique table, along with coal oil lamps and ear trumpets?

They well might be, with the advent of the e-book accessing hundreds of thousands of books — and cheaply. Most classics of yesteryear are in the public domain, and will all be available online.

The Gutenberg press arrived in 1450 and became a brilliant catalyst to the Renaissance and the Reformation, giving a boost for the former and being the principal catalyst of the latter. It was the biggest boon to communications in history prior to the arrival of the computer. Prior to it, communication in any real sense rested with those who could read and write, which meant the upper class and especially the church. (The phrase “benefit of clergy” meant someone who was a priest, thus able to read and write.) Continue Reading »

Last article I spoke of civil disobedience, a legitimate tool of dissent in a democracy when a government makes political decisions without public consultation and to the exclusion of all but the powerful. We have just such a decision forthcoming with federal and provincial approval of the Enbridge pipelines from the Tar Sands to Kitimat and huge oil tankers moving that sludge down our treacherous coastline to Asia and the US.

The governments will no doubt say that this decision has been democratically decided by democratic process, which is pure barnyard droppings.

In fact the public has not been consulted and won’t be until after the deal is done.

Since last week there have been two major events to report. Continue Reading »

One is not supposed to anticipate lawbreaking, much less say that one will participate. Interesting that as I write this, it is the 71st anniversary of Winston Churchill becoming Prime Minister of Britain. I claim no resemblance to the great man – I only say that I learned from him that candour is the only sensible, and indeed honest, way to deal with problems.

I must tell you, then, that there will be civil disobedience all over the province if the governments proceed with BC’s Fish Farm Policy and its Energy Plan and, with federal blessing, with the pipelines and tankers taking the bitumen from the Tar Sands over BC’s wilderness and down our coast in tankers. Continue Reading »

It’s been a few days now since our momentous federal election and I’m trying to make some sense of it from the environmentalist standpoint.

The good news is, of course, the election of Elizabeth May – even though as one lone voice in parliament she can do little in any formal sense.

She can be effective at getting her message out both in question period and “debate” if the media want her to get coverage. They will certainly cover her activities so long as she keeps matters interesting. It’s the old “dog bites man/man bites dog” rule of journalism. As long as Ms. May can give the media interesting stories, her work will be reported.

I hope that the Green Party can increase its size and influence but it would take a braver man than I to ever see them for Official Opposition, much less government. We at the Common Sense Canadian will, it goes without saying, offer time and space to Ms. May and any other political parties or candidates who pledge to preserve our environment. Continue Reading »

It was not, over all, a great night for environmentalists in BC with the very notable exception of the election of Elizabeth May as the first Green Party MP in our history. She will find that she has taken on the responsibility of being one of BC’s main spokespeople on environmental matters and The Common Sense Canadian looks forward to working with May and, of course, those other MPs who feel as we do about the environment and related issues. I make no apologies for not calling the election correctly – if I did that I would spend half my lifetime apologizing!

As the old saying has it, if the only tool you have is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail. So it is with us who have taken environmental issues on as a lifetime issue. It’s not that we don’t see, understand and have passion for other issues – rather that we see the environment as being urgent. If we get it wrong over the next few years – and the BC government and the Harper government have got it wrong – then the damage is forever. Continue Reading »

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